In  a  prior  post  I  told  the  story  of  the  Thousand  Year  Trusts  of  the  Middle  Ages,  where  rich  merchants  would  purchase  1,000  year  certificates of  deposit  for  their  remote  descendants,  at  3%  interest  compounded  annually.
$1,000  held  for  1,000  years  at  3%  compounded  annually  =  $1,000  x  (1.03  to  the  999th  power)  =  6.67  QUINTILLION  dollars.
As  related,  the  European  courts  later  struck  the  notes  down  essentially  for   bestowing  unlawful  amounts  of  economic  power  to  individuals.
My  other  favorite  story  of  the  same  sort,  exhibiting  the  power  of  geometric  progression,  is  that  of  the  two  men  playing  chess.   One  says  to  the  other,  "If  I  win,  I  want  you  to  pay  me  one  grain  of  rice  on  the  first  square  of  the  chess  board,    two  grains  on  the  second  square,  four on  the  third  square,    eight  on  the  fourth,  and  so  on,   doubling  the number  of  grains  to  the  64th  square  of  the  chess  board."
The  other  man  idly  agrees,  and loses,  and  has  his servants  bring  a  basket  of  rice  to  begin  paying-off  the  wager.
The  numbers of  grains  of  rice  mount  in  this  fashion
1+
2+
4+
8+
16+
32+
64+
128+
256+
512+
1024+
2048+
4096+
8192+
16384+
32768+
65536+
131072+
262144+
524288+...
You  can  see  what  is  happening.   We  are  less  than  one-third  of  the  way  through  the  64  square  board,  and  the  numbers  are  getting  huge.
Years  ago  I  read  that  by the  time  we  get  to  the  64th  square,   the  accumulation  of  rice  is  equal  to  about  9  cubic  miles.
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
.jpg)
No comments:
Post a Comment